damage. a new gallup tracking poll has the president opening up a 6-point lead over romney. as mitt romney fumbled his way down the campaign trail. so first this lack luster rnc convention set him back. and then he completely bungled his response to the libya situation and that didn't help. but then came the biggest mistake of all. 47% rant caught on tape. now, national polls are not always the best way to understand the state of the election. and for that, you've got to go to the swing states. and sorry, mitt, but the pictures there are not much better. a "new york times" cbs quinnipiac poll shows that big margins exist among likely swing state voters. in pennsylvania, the president is up big. 54% to romney's 42%. he leads romney 53% to 44% in florida and in ohio, he leads by a full 10 points! 53% to 43%. the last one is really important because if history is any guide the road to the white house really does run through ohio. no republican has ever won the white house without winning the state of ohio

give the state to mitt romney. pennsylvania's actually part of a wider trend. measures to restrict voting are being stymied in courts in wisconsin, texas florida arizona, south carolina, and ohio. stymied by the court system. but the not so good news is that these laws are not going away. the pennsylvania law has just been suspended not struck down and other state courts are likely going to consider similar restrictions. pennsylvania is not even seen as a swing state anymore. the president now leads by 8 points according to an average of the polls from real clear politics and both candidates have actually pulled their ads and their money there. but the heat is on in ohio. where early voting started today. over a third of the state's electorate is expected to vote early. and they're already coming out in force in cincinnati last night, dozens camped out overnight waiting to vote this morning and it was the same scene in youngstown, ohio. for this week only, for this week only, voters can register and vote

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